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Conventional DRAM contract prices in 1Q26 are forecast to rise 55–60% QoQ, while NAND Flash prices are expected to increase 33–38% QoQ The DRAM supply-demand gap continues to widen as U.S.-based CSPs lock in capacity, forcing other buyers to accept higher prices; server DRAM prices are projected to surge by more than 60% QoQ NAND Flash demand is increasingly polarized between consumer and AI applications, with enterprise SSDs becoming the largest segment; client SSD prices are forecast to rise by over 40%
TrendForce’s latest research indicates that tight supply conditions in the memory market have recently driven a sharp rise in conventional DRAM prices. While HBM3e has also benefited from upward revisions to GPU and ASIC orders—pushing its prices higher—the ASP gap between HBM3e and DDR5 is expected to continue to narrow significantly over the next year.
TrendForce’s latest investigations indicate that the rapid acceleration of vehicle electrification and intelligence is expected to propel the global automotive semiconductor market from approximately US$67.7 billion in 2024 to nearly $96.9 billion by 2029, representing a CAGR of 7.4% over the 2024–2029 period.
TrendForce’s latest research indicates that the global foundry industry continued to profit in 3Q25, fueled by strong demand for AI in HPC and new consumer-electronics chips and IC peripherals. Revenue was primarily driven by advanced processes at 7 nm and below, with support from high-value wafers. Chinese foundries also expanded their business through supply-chain diversification. As a result, total revenue for the top 10 foundries increased by 8.1% QoQ to nearly US$45.1 billion.
H200’s performance significantly surpasses H20, making it an attractive option for China’s CSPs and OEMs if exports proceed as planned. The U.S. is expected to adopt an “N-1” or “N-2” export strategy for AI chips shipped to China, to ensure that global-market products retain a performance lead. China’s domestic AI chip market share is projected to reach 50% in 2026, supported by government policies and enterprise-level projects.
