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TrendForce’s projections foresee that the US satellite direct-to-device (D2D) market is expected to undergo significant growth, expanding from $430 million in 2023 to $6.5 billion by 2027 at a CAGR of 36%. This growth is driven by increasing subscriptions to satellite D2D services, potentially enabling telecom operators to expand beyond traditional mobile communication services into satellite communications.
TrendForce predicts that the global market value of 5G NTN will jump from US$4.9 billion to $8.8 billion between 2023 to 2026—a CAGR of 7%. This rise in global market value will likely drive chip makers to begin developing 5G NTN technology.
TrendForce forecasts that the value of the global 5G market will reach US$14.5 billion in 2023 thanks to the promotion of 5G private networks by enterprises and the upgrading of the equipment purposed for small cells and 5G FWA. Then, the global 5G market will further scale up to US$37 billion in 2026, with the CAGR for the 2023~2026 period coming to 11.0%. Applications related to the Metaverse will help spur the demand for 5G networks during the period.
According to TrendForce research, shipments of 5G FWA devices will reach 7.6 million units in 2022, an annual increase of 111%, due to the expansion of 5G coverage and growing market demand for Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) services. 5G FWA device shipments in 2023 are estimated at 13 million units. At present, Nokia, Huawei, Casa Systems, and TCL have launched relevant solutions, using Qualcomm, MediaTek, and UNISOC made chips. Taiwanese players include Arcadyan, Zyxel, Sercomm, Wistron NeWeb, Askey, and Alpha Networks. As installed capacity increases, new demand is created for communication equipment manufacturers and new business opportunities become available to upstream component suppliers.
The entire world utilizes the building of 5G networks to meet the needs of individual users and vertical industries and, as the ubiquity of 5Q continues to broaden, its applications cover the medical, education, industry, and agriculture sectors, forming a business model that can be replicated and promoted, and accelerating development of its network scale. TrendForce estimates that Huawei, Ericsson, and Nokia will account for 74.5% of the global base station market in 2022.