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The DRAM contract prices have gradually begun to decline due the increased production at SK Hynix's Wuxi Plant and the industry's eased shortage situation, according to DRAMeXchange, a research division of TrendForce. The highest price for mainstream 4GB modules has already fallen from US$35 to US$34, and is perceived to be a leading indicator of the impending price changes within the market. Calculating on the basis of the market's average prices ($US33), the price of the 4Gb chip is estimated to be approximately $US 3.81, which is around 10.3% less than the US$4.203 spot price. Avril Wu, TrendForce’s assistant vice president, projects that the DRAM contract prices will first converge with the market spot prices by the end of the first quarter, and then begin to fall during 2Q14.
The growth of Smartphones, tablets, and SSDs helped boost NAND Flash demand to 46% in 2013, according to DRAMeXchange, a research division of TrendForce. Industry value, on the other hand, rose by nearly 22% compared to 2012, and arrived at approximately US$ 24.6 Billion. With SSD applications gradually being sought after by the enterprise clients, demand for NAND Flash is expected to reach 36% in 2014, while industry value is set to exceed US$ 27 Billion. “More and more end devices are anticipated to equip NAND Flash components as technological processes advance and lead to a gradual reduction in OEM manufacturing cost,” Sean Yang, TrendForce’s assistant vice president, said.
The 1H'Dec NAND Flash contract prices have dropped by 1-3% compared to 2H'Nov, according to DRAMeXchange, a research division of global market research firm TrendForce. The average NAND Flash chip prices for the entire month of November were affected by the quarter-end effect in the US market and the underwhelming demand in the industry, and as a result slid by 10-11% from October. With a good number of the module manufacturers being reserved about the Christmas and Chinese New Year shopping periods, their inventory levels also tended to be higher than usual. On the whole, the NAND Flash suppliers' general unwillingness to resort to price reductions following the massive November shipments can be said to have contributed to the relatively unnoticeable decline in the 1H'Dec NAND Flash contract prices.
According to DRAMeXchange, a research division of TrendForce, the holiday sales momentum and stabilized market shipments are both helping PC-OEMs to digest their inventory. The 1H’Dec contract prices have experienced a slight increase as the yield issues experienced by suppliers remain unresolved. For 4GB, the average prices rose by an estimated 3%, climbing from US$ 33 to US$ 34. The 2GB modules, on the other hand, experienced the same amount of price growth (3%) following the massive reductions in their supplies. Due to the above developments, it is predicted that the contract price uptrend will continue throughout 2H’Dec.
Two major trends will emerge in the 2014 SSD market, according to DRAMeXchange, a research division of TrendForce. First, PCIe G2 (ie.PCIe Generation 2.0) will replace SATA III as the mainstream item in the high-end SSD market. Second, SATA III TLC SSD will make an impact on the low to mid-end market sectors.