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2026 global notebook shipments revised down to a 5.4% YoY decline, with downside risk expanding to a 10.1% contraction Apple and Lenovo are better positioned to stabilize shipments thanks to supply-chain strength, product mix, and pricing strategies Notebook LCD panel shipments to weaken in 2026; OLED panel growth expected to slow
TrendForce’s latest investigations reveal that memory prices are projected to rise sharply again in the first quarter of 2026, exerting significant cost pressure on global end-device manufacturers. Consequently, smartphone and notebook brands are compelled to increase their product prices and reduce specifications. A further downward revision of shipment forecasts now seems unavoidable, with market resources becoming more concentrated among a few leading brands.
TrendForce’s recent research indicates that high-speed optical interconnects are now central to performance and scalability, especially as AI data centers grow into large clusters. The report predicts that worldwide shipments of optical transceivers of 800G and higher will hit 24 million units in 2025, then jump by 2.6 times to nearly 63 million units in 2026.
TrendForce’s latest research indicates that the smartphone market entered its peak season in the second half of the year, with new product launches further boosting output. In 3Q25, global smartphone production hit 328 million units, representing a 9% QoQ growth and a 7% YoY rise. These numbers highlight a distinct seasonal uptick.
TrendForce’s latest report states that rising memory prices have significantly increased BOM costs in consumer electronics, leading brands to hike retail prices and dampening market demand. After reducing its 2026 shipment forecasts for smartphones and laptops earlier in November, TrendForce has also downgraded its 2026 forecast for game console shipments—from an initial YoY decline of 3.5% to 4.4%.
