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LCD panel market is expecting several new large generation fabs in 2018. BOE has launched the world’s first Gen 10.5 fab, while CEC-CHOT’s Gen 8.6 fab and Gen 8.6+ fab of CEC-Panda Chengdu will also go into operation this year. According to WitsView, a division of TrendForce, LCD panel prices are expected to drop by 20-40% in 2018 compared with 2017, pushing up demands for TV panels. Therefore, the supply and demand will achieve a balance in 2018, with possibility of oversupply in 2019.
Toshiba and Western Digital have reached an agreement on December 13th, 2017, after lawsuits and disputes over joint venture throughout the past year. The two companies have extended existing joint-venture agreement to 2029, which confirms that Western Digital will jointly invest in Fab 6 facility at Yokkaichi to secure its competitiveness in 3D-NAND Flash with 96-layer or greater. Soon after the agreement, Toshiba announced its Fab 7 construction plan on December 21st. According to DRAMeXchange, a division of TrendForce, the production capacity expansion of major NAND Flash manufacturers, e.g. Toshiba, Samsung, Intel, and Yangtze Memory Technologies Corporation (YMTC), will have increasing impacts on the industry, resulting in a possible oversupply in NAND Flash market in 2019.
TrendForce’s latest report, Breakdown Analysis of China's Semiconductor Industry, outlines the landscape of China’s dynamic and fast-growing semiconductor industry, and reveals that the memory segment will be a focus for the industry, considering that China now heavily relies on imported semiconductor components, and that semiconductor is a sensitive sector which may have potential applications in national security.
According to the latest report of DRAMeXchange, a division of TrendForce, the global server shipment will grow by 5.53% in 2018 driven by the surging demand for servers in data centers.
DRAMeXchange, a division of TrendForce, expects lower demand for NAND Flash in 1Q18 due to the traditional off-peak season. The demand from notebooks, tablets, and smartphones (mainly Chinese branded smartphones) is estimated to drop by more than 15% compared with 4Q17, and that from server will remain generally the same. Therefore, the overall bit demand is projected to drop by 0-5% compared with 4Q17. On the other hand, as suppliers keep improving their production capacity and yield rate of 3D-NAND Flash, the bit output will grow by more than 5% compared with 4Q17. Consequently, NAND Flash market will experience an oversupply in 1Q18 and contract prices of SSD, NAND Flash chips and wafer, etc. will drop.
