The application period for the tax incentives under Taiwan’s Chip Act ended in late May. According to a report from the Economic Daily News, the Ministry of Economic Affairs announced on June 3rd that four semiconductor-related companies have applied, with the review process expected to be completed by mid to late July. Reportedly, it is said that major semiconductor companies, such as TSMC and MediaTek, have submitted their applications.

Under this act, eligible companies can benefit from certain tax deduction measures, including a 25% tax deduction for expenses on cutting-edge innovative R&D expenses and a 5% deduction on expenses of advanced process equipment, reportedly to be the most generous tax deduction measures ever in Taiwan.

The first round of applications from enterprises was accepted in February of this year, with the deadline on May 31st.

Regarding the eligibility criteria, according to the investment deduction measures announced by the Ministry of Economic Affairs, an eligibility company’s R&D expenses must reach NTD 6 billion, while its R&D intensity be at least 6%, and expenditures on equipment for advanced processes must reach NTD 10 billion.

The aforementioned criteria are not restricted by industry category. However, an effective tax rate of 12% for 2023 is required to qualify for the tax reductions under Article 10-2 of the Statute for Industrial Innovation.

Per the same report, it is understood that in 2023, there are nine listed companies meeting the two major thresholds, namely, reaching the NTD 6 billion threshold for R&D expenses and an R&D intensity of 6%, of which TSMC and MediaTek may potentially benefit from.

The Industrial Development Bureau stated that only four companies have applied for the tax benefits under the Taiwan Chip Act. They did not disclose the names of these companies, only mentioning that all applicants are semiconductor-related firms. It is widely anticipated that TSMC and MediaTek, the two most competitive companies in the country with the highest investment in R&D, are likely to benefit from the Taiwan Chip Act.

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(Photo credit: TSMC)

According to Taiwan’s Economic Daily News, UMC has recently engaged in discussions with global giants such as Texas Instruments and Infineon about long-term cooperation plans. Additionally, Taiwan’s two leading IC design companies, MediaTek and Realtek, have seen their inventories of WiFi 6/6E chips depleted, prompting them to increase their orders with UMC.

TrendForce recently reported that the White House announced on May 14th the imposition of additional tariffs on semiconductor products manufactured in China. This move has accelerated a shift in supply chain orders, leading Taiwanese foundries to receive increased orders, boosting capacity utilization beyond expectations.

For the second half of this year, Vanguard’s capacity utilization is expected to rise above 75%, PSMC’s 12-inch capacity utilization will reach 85-90%, and UMC’s overall capacity utilization will settle between 70-75%.

UMC’s orders from overseas clients are largely driven by the U.S. tariffs on Chinese semiconductor imports, which are projected to double to 50% by 2025. This has spurred a wave of supply chain relocations, with UMC leveraging its diverse manufacturing footprint to attract long-term cooperation plans from companies like Texas Instruments, Infineon, and Microchip.

From the perspective of Taiwanese market, UMC has benefited from a recent recovery in the networking sector. Taiwan’s top two WiFi 6 chip suppliers, MediaTek and Realtek, responding to customer restocking demands, have begun to increase their orders for WiFi chips with UMC.

Recent revenue data from Realtek indicates a rebound in the networking market. In April, Realtek’s consolidated revenue reached NT$10.068 billion, a 11.4% increase month-over-month and a 21.9% increase year-over-year, marking the first time in 20 months that monthly revenue has surpassed NT$10 billion.

MediaTek’s consolidated revenue in April was NT$42.028 billion, a 16.74% decrease month-over-month, yet still the second highest on record for the period, with a 48.25% year-over-year increase. Foundry sources indicate that MediaTek has placed additional orders for the third quarter, suggesting that networking customers are set to upgrade specifications this year.

UMC’s consolidated revenue in April was NT$19.741 billion, up 8.67% month-over-month and 6.93% year-over-year, reaching a 16-month high. UMC previously projected that as inventories in the computer, consumer, and communication sectors return to healthier levels, overall wafer shipments would see a slight increase this quarter. However, in the automotive and industrial sectors, slower-than-expected inventory digestion has kept demand subdued.

(Photo credit: UMC)

Novatek has unveiled its AI and related domain strategies during its year-end investor conference. According to a report from Taiwanese news outlet Tai Sounds, Novatek anticipates that the demand for AI will drive an enhancement in display specifications and necessitate the integration of edge devices such as security systems.

Transmission interfaces stand as the core focus of Novatek, with subsequent products extending towards high-speed transmission. In both its driver IC and SoC product lines, Novatek maintains customized product lines, with expectations for growth in customized chips this year.

As per sources cited by Taiwanese news outlet Tai Sounds, Novatek is rumored to be venturing into the IP domain and may have opportunities to collaborate with ARM, a subsidiary of SoftBank Group.

Further clarification from the source also indicates that Novatek specializes in customized power management chips for mobile devices, while Realtek offers USB4 hub solutions.

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(Photo credit: Novatek)

Amid a two-year recalibration in the smartphone and electronic component supply chain, inventory levels have rebounded to a healthy state. The infusion of new applications like AI and auto driving has fueled a comprehensive replenishment of consumer electronics inventory, propelling IC design with a surge in urgent and short orders.

Although wafer prices surged by over 40% during the pandemic, recent declines in utilization suggest an impending price reduction cycle to maintain operational rates, expected to lead to a reduction in IC design costs. Key players, boasting inventory turnover periods below a hundred days, are well-positioned for a potential upswing in demand, as reported by CTEE.

While most semiconductor companies are anticipated to experience declines in 2023, inventory levels have already tapered off. MediaTek boasts an inventory turnover period of just 89.11 days, with Realtek and ITE Tech at 96.77 and 84.11 days, respectively.

IC design companies emphasize the dominance of rush orders in the latter half of the year. Despite the uncertainty of economic visibility, confidence prevails regarding the new applications like AI, auto driving, and LEO(Low Earth Orbit) satellites, promising an upsurge in demand.

IC design companies also point out that the 3-5 year cycle of device replacement is imminent. The infusion of new AI applications and technological advancements in decision-making and workplace practices is expected to drive business demand. Positive developments, such as Microsoft discontinuing support for Windows 10, are anticipated to gain traction by 2024.

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According to TrendForce research, in general, revenue of Taiwanese IC design companies grew significantly in 2021 with many hitting record highs due to active procurement of various terminal applications and the effect of product price inflation. These companies also performed well in terms of gross profit margin and profitability. The top 10 Taiwanese IC design companies generated revenue of NT$906.16 billion, or 54.3% YoY. In recent years, MediaTek has contributed more than half of the output value of Taiwan’s top ten IC design companies and has become a primary factor in the growth of Taiwan’s IC design industry.

Looking at Taiwan’s top three IC design companies, MediaTek, Novatek, and Realtek, in 1Q22, MediaTek benefited from the increase in 5G penetration and successive shipments of Dimensity 9000. A mobile phone release in March 2022 produced revenue growth which can offset lower demand for certain consumer products due to seasonal factors while the proportion of high-margin products in each revenue category will increase. Thus, annual revenue growth is expected to exceed 20% this year.

As for Novatek, although DDI and TDDI stocking has entered the off-season for traditional industries and demand for consumer electronics has weakened, overall market demand is still greater than supply and Commercial Notebook and Automotive demand remain strong. New products such as OLED FoD, OLED TDDI, FTDDI, and Mini LED will drive continued revenue stability. This year, Novatek will integrate TCON, PMIC, etc. for package sales, so that there is a relative price support, but the company must still dynamically adjust its product mix according to market changes.

In terms of Realtek, positive demand in the enterprise, industrial, and automotive sectors in 2H21 will continue to 1H22. With the pandemic slowing down, purchasing of commercial laptops and equipment has ramped up, wired and wireless network infrastructure is being upgraded, the automotive market continues to grow, and relevant products such as Wi-Fi 6, Wi-Fi 6E, 5G Ethernet, and the new LE Audio Bluetooth IC are being launched successively, which will continue to improve Realtek’s performance. On the consumer market side, demand in the PC and consumer electronics markets will return to normal in 2022 and the TWS Bluetooth headset market will face a price war, which will lead to a suppression of Realtek’s shipments in relevant sectors. Regarding foundry price hikes, some customers have reported that they cannot afford further price inflation and are still in the process of negotiating terms of cooperation. In addition, Realtek has been destocking in 1Q22 due to the customer yearend inventory audits and component mismatching.

Taking a comprehensive look at 2022, TrendForce believes that the benefits of price inflation will gradually fade and demand for consumer electronics will moderate but not weaken significantly, while sustained strong demand for industrial, automotive, and high-speed computing will test the product portfolio optimization and cost pass-through ability of IC design companies.

（Image credit: iStock）