As September draws closer and iPhone 16’s release date is nearing, suppliers have been ramping up their production of iPhone 16 OLED panels in preparation. According to the reports by ETNews and MacRumors, Samsung Display and LG Display started initial production of iPhone 16 OLED panels as early as in June, and have substantially boosted production over the past month.

ETnews notes that Apple is forecasting shipments of approximately 90 million iPhone 16 units this year, while the production of OLED panels is estimated to be around 30% higher, totaling about 120 million units.

Among them, Samsung is said to have the lion’s share by supplying around 80 million OLED panels by the end of this year, while LGD is projected to provide approximately 43 million panels, according to ETnews. Both companies are on track to meet these production targets.

The reports states that the iPhone 16, iPhone 16 Plus, iPhone 16 Pro, and iPhone 16 Pro Max will have a design similar to the iPhone 15 models, but Apple is increasing the sizes of the iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max.

The iPhone 16 Pro will feature a 6.3-inch display, up from 6.1 inches, while the iPhone 16 Pro Max will have a 6.9-inch display, an increase from 6.7 inches. The display sizes for the standard iPhone 16 models will remain unchanged, with the iPhone 16 maintaining a 6.1-inch display and the iPhone 16 Plus featuring a 6.7-inch display.

Earlier in May, both LG Display and Samsung Display secured orders for OLED panels for Apple’s iPhone 16 Pro, according to a previous report from The Elec. Subsequently, LG Display also has acquired orders for iPhone 16 Pro Max panels.

It seems that Apple tends to release more OLED orders to LGD and counts on it to be a solid second supplier. Another report by The Elec reveals that Apple is likely to use LGD as the second supplier for the OLED screens of next year’s iPhone SE 4. The iPhone SE series is Apple’s budget-friendly option, traditionally sourcing screens exclusively from the Chinese manufacturer BOE.

Read more

• [News] Apple May Choose LGD as Second Supplier for iPhone SE 4 OLED
• [News] Fuelled by AI Features, Apple’s iPhone 16 Shipments Reportedly to Increase by 10%

(Photo credit Apple)

From May 14th to 16th, the international display industry’s leading event, SID Display Week 2024, was held in San Jose, USA. Major panel manufacturers such as BOE, TCL CSOT, Tianma, Visionox, Innolux, AUO, Samsung Display, and LG Display showcased a variety of new technological products. TrendForce will review and summarize the development focuses of various panel manufacturers from a technical perspective.

• 3D Display Makes a Comeback, Focusing on Glasses-Free Immersive Experience

3D visual perception is currently the most intuitive way humans perceive the world. Compared to AR/VR, which requires additional wearable devices, glasses-free 3D technology allows users to enjoy a lifelike visual experience without the need for glasses or headsets.

With significant improvements in display quality and user experience, this technology can now be applied to museum exhibits, outdoor advertising, medical education, and more. It has the potential to compete with emerging head-mounted devices in the future.

At the exhibition, in addition to 2D/3D switching, there were light-field displays that enhanced monocular resolution to retinal levels. Coupled with facial tracking and active human-machine interaction systems, these displays expanded the viewing range and 3D viewing angles, delivering an immersive and impressive desktop 3D display experience.

BOE: 110”16K 3D Display & 32”Light Field Display

LGD: Micro OLED+ Light Field Display

• Performance – Enhancing Efficiency to Meet AI Era Demands for Improved Image Quality and Reduced Power Consumption

Addressing the power consumption issues brought about by enhanced image quality can be achieved through various technological advancements such as pixel design, tandem architecture, AI intelligence, micro-lens arrays, oxide backplanes, and dynamic refresh rates. These innovations aim to improve image quality while simultaneously reducing power consumption.

For instance, oxide backplanes have significantly lower leakage currents compared to LTPS backplanes. Combined with new circuit designs, they can maintain voltage for extended periods, keeping flicker within a certain frequency during low-frequency refreshes. Dynamic refresh rates allow the screen’s refresh rate to adapt based on the content displayed, aligning refresh rates with display signals in real-time to provide longer battery life.

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, AI technologies are being leveraged to enhance image quality while reducing screen power consumption (AI low-power image enhancement technology). The deep integration of AI with screens enables real-time image processing at high resolutions and refresh rates, reducing the power consumption of panel modules and achieving an optimal balance between reduced power consumption and improved image quality.

BOE: AIoT + OLED AI Power Reduction Technology

• Folding – Diversified Folding Designs Expanding Application Scenarios

At the exhibition, panel manufacturers showcased the durability of foldable screens through tests involving robots randomly striking the displays, demonstrating that foldable screens can now meet the demands of most usage scenarios.

In addition to the conventional inward and outward folding screens already available on the market, the exhibition also featured G/Z-shaped tri-fold phones and new foldable plus extendable display panels, allowing users to switch between different screen sizes based on application needs.

The introduction of various flexible display forms includes innovations such as the removal of polarizers, simplified hinges, and stress-designed screens, preparing for a variety of user experiences and interaction modes with the new foldable display panels. These complex module designs are expected to drive technological innovation within the supply chain.

SDC: Foldable OLED Reliability Test

SDC: Flex Note Extendable (Folding+ Sliding) Display Size: 13.8” -> 17.3”

SDC: Flex S Multi Foldable Display (Z-Shaped)

• Transparent Displays – Enhanced Transparency Technology for Better Integration with Environments

Once a futuristic display technology with a sci-fi aura, transparent displays are now being gradually applied in commercial, automotive, and everyday scenarios by various brands. Transparent displays transform glass from a mere transparent material into a display product with vast imaginative potential and rich content.

The key to enhancing screen transparency lies not only in the transparency of the substrate but also in effectively increasing the pixel aperture ratio to maintain image quality. Historically, Micro LED screens have achieved transparency rates of over 60%, while OLED screens have been around 40%. With recent technological improvements, the OLED screens showcased at this exhibition have now reached a 60% transparency level, matching that of Micro LED screens.

The future of transparent displays will be shaped by continued advancements in transparency, image quality, brightness, price, and product positioning. Higher transparency levels will enable seamless integration with environments, facilitating broader application and adoption of this innovative display technology.

Visionox: 10” Transparent OLED (Transparency: 60%)

AUO: 60” Transparent Micro-LED Display (Transparency: 60%)

• New Applications and Technological Breakthroughs

At the exhibition, notable breakthroughs in new applications and technologies included innovative automotive display designs, QDEL displays produced through printing processes, and high-brightness RGB OLEDos. Samsung Display and TCL CSOT both showcased QDEL-related technologies, employing printing methods to add quantum dots that directly convert light into colored images.

In traditional QLED technology, the light source is blue backlight that passes through quantum dots for color conversion. In contrast, the QDEL displays exhibited by Samsung Display and TCL CSOT apply current directly to the quantum dots to generate light. As a result, QDEL pixels can emit light and switch off independently, offering the same deep blacks and rich contrast as OLEDs.

Looking ahead, as the lifespan of the quantum dot light-emitting layer improves, QDEL is poised to become a competitive choice for consumer displays due to its lower cost and superior image quality.

Samsung: 18.2” QD-LED

BOE: P0.3 Micro LED Transformer Display Cluster <-> Center Information Display (CID)  Co-Driver Display (CDD)

TIMANA: 12.3”InvisiVue Display With Textured, Mini-LED

Visionox: Rollable OLED Surface Display

• Green Low-Carbon Technology Industry Development Trends

It is noteworthy that LG Display has focused on developing new technologies under the theme of a better future. BOE, in particular, has set up a green low-carbon zone at the center of their booth, highlighting green manufacturing, green product technology, and green supply chains.

They continue to lead the display industry with technological innovation and green development, promoting the healthy and sustainable growth of the global display industry.

BOE: Green for Future

Samsung Display has unveiled the RGB version of Micro OLED (OLEDoS) for the first time at CES 2024, presenting the industry’s reportedly highest-resolution RGB OLEDoS display screen.

As per Samsung Display’s news release, Samsung Display has indicated that Micro OLED achieves high-definition displays with small pixel sizes, achieved by applying organic materials to silicon wafers, playing a crucial role in the increasingly popular XR headsets.

Although the Micro OLED is only 1.03 inches, it has a pixel density of 3,500 PPI, making it the industry’s highest resolution RGB OLEDoS display, which utilizes red, green and blue OLEDs on silicon wafers to generate color without the need for a separate light source.

Samsung has previously acquired Micro LED developer eMagin last year. In addition, there are reports indicating that Apple is developing the second generation of Vision Pro, expected to be unveiled in 2027. It is rumored to adopt advanced RGB OLEDoS technology, and the acquisition of eMagin by Samsung also positions them to provide the necessary technology for Apple.

If Apple is interested in upgrading its Vision Pro 2 display tech, Samsung’s exhibit at CES 2024 could be considered a showcase, proving that its Micro OLED technology is gradually gaining ground, and that it has a potential chance of replacing Sony as a Vision Pro 2 display supplier.

Read more

• [News] Matching Apple’s Vision Pro Momentum? Rumors Suggest Samsung Expediting XR Device Launch in Early 2024
• [News] Apple’s Vision Pro Finally Set to Hit the Shelves – Available in the U.S. from February 2nd, 2024

(Photo credit: Samsung)

Due to weak demand in the mobile phone market, the decline in prices of mobile phone panels, especially AMOLED panels, has accelerated this year. Under overcapacity pressure, the price decline has exceeded expectations.

According to our survey, some brands actively introduced Ramless DDI flexible AMOLED panels in the second half of last year, trying to narrow the price gap with rigid AMOLED panels and increase usage rates through DDI cost optimization. However, the inventory level of flexible AMOLED panels with Ram is high, and the price decline has also accelerated, while also narrowing the price gap with rigid AMOLED panels.

The current prices update:

• Rigid AMOLED panels are around USD 18-20.
• Flexible AMOLED panels with Ram are priced at around USD 25 or even lower, which is a significant drop from the average of USD 30 or more last year.
• The above price reduction of flexible AMOLED panels with Ram has led to a price reduction of Ramless DDI flexible AMOLED panels, which are currently priced at around USD 20-22.

The significant price reduction of flexible AMOLED panels with Ram has dimmed the cost advantage of Ramless DDI flexible AMOLED panels, and currently only Xiaomi has adopted them. Other first-tier brand customers remain cautious.

In addition, due to the momentum of flexible AMOLED panel price declines, whether the price of rigid AMOLED panels will follow suit has become a challenge for SDC. We believe that SDC should follow the price reduction strategy and may even approach the level of USD 15 in the second half of the year after abandoning the USD 20 threshold.

However, there are two reasons why we believe SDC may find it difficult to reverse the current situation even with a price reduction strategy. These reasons include:

• Weak overall smartphone demand this year.
• Chinese brand customers will gradually adjust their procurement strategy to focus on domestic panel factories. For SDC, how to dispose of rigid AMOLED panel capacity in the medium to long term will be a major issue.

Due to the sustained pressure on AMOLED panel prices, LTPS LCD panel prices are also forced to continue to decline, and it is expected that prices will continue to drop from the current range of USD 10-15 and may even fall below USD 10.

On the other hand, because LTPS LCD prices have approached a-Si LCD panel prices, it has aroused the interest of some brand customers. Under the overall weak market conditions, adopting low-cost LTPS LCD specifications may help improve revenue performance or stimulate demand by upgrading from HD to FHD specifications at the same price.

According to the latest TrendForce research, although factors such as panel and component mismatch and supply issues and the fading effects of the stay-at-home economy influenced shipments of e-sports LCD monitors (defined as refresh rates above 100Hz) in 2021, many brands targeted e-sports LCD monitors in 4Q21 with a strategy of aggressively reducing e-sports product pricing to prompt a volume surge and successfully boosted shipments of e-sports LCD monitors to 22.8 million units in 2021, with an annual growth rate of 24%. However, growth momentum will slow in 2022. In addition to long lead times, the most significant variable remains the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war. If the war continues, it will impair European market demand and affect the shipment performance of e-sports-related products. In addition, the Russian-Ukrainian war has triggered a surge in the prices of crude oil, metal, and agricultural commodities, spiking previously growing inflationary pressure. Thus, TrendForce conservatively estimates shipments of e-sports LCD monitors at 26.1 million units in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 14%.

In terms of product types, the market share of flat-screen e-sport LCD monitors reached 59% in 2021, officially surpassing the 41% of curved monitors. Last year, when Samsung Display (SDC) faded out of the supply chain, it caused a shortage in the supply of curved panels, increasing the magnitude of price hikes. In addition, the supply of flat IPS e-sports products continued to increase, resulting in a decline in the competitiveness of the curved panel market. In 2022, the market share of flat and curved panels will remain unchanged but the supply of curved gaming panels from the two major suppliers, AUO and CSOT, will continue to grow with curved e-sports panel pricing the first to fall. The cost-effective advantage of whole curved e-sports devices has reemerged, which will bump the market share of curved e-sports LCD monitors to 43%.

In terms of e-sports product resolution, FHD (1920×1080), QHD (2560×1440), UHD (3840×2160), and Ultra-wide (2560×1080/3440×1440/5120×1440, etc.), in 2021, FHD captured the highest market share at 62.9% followed by QHD, Ultra-wide, and UHD. TrendForce believes, in addition to continuously improving e-sports product specifications, the simultaneous improvement of resolution will assist monitor brands in maintaining or improving profitability. Especially since, starting from 4Q21, the supply of 34-inch (21:9) wide-screen VA products increased significantly. This coupled with noticeable panel price reductions, expands profit margin and allows monitor brands more room to operate and is expected to drive wide-screen monitors to compete for a 13.4% market share in 2022.