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TrendForce combines its expertise in the Foundry/Server industry and leverages it with the supply chain to accurately estimate AI chip shipments, AI Server application ratios, AI major suppliers' analysis, and the adoption of AI memory.
Cloud giants are drastically expanding Capex for AI infrastructure, driving explosive demand for GPU/ASIC racks. However, immense computing demand faces structural component shortages. Meanwhile, OEMs are transitioning into AI system integrators targeting sovereign clouds.
North American CSP CAPEX expansion drives dual demand for NVIDIA and custom chips. ODMs like Foxconn benefit from rack solutions and are expanding US/Mexico production. Power leaders Delta and LiteOn are shifting toward high-voltage, liquid cooling, and system-level integration to support high-density computing.
Looking ahead to 2026, major global CSPs are significantly increasing capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, focusing on high-density GPU racks and self-developed ASICs to optimize costs. North American giants are leading the adoption of NVIDIA solutions and proprietary chips, driving the share of AI servers and ASICs. Meanwhile, OEMs like Dell and IEIT are aggressively deploying AI solutions amidst intense competition and geopolitical challenges.
In 2026, benefiting from strong capital expenditure by North American CSPs, AI server shipments and revenue share are expected to rise significantly, driving supply chain expansion and the development of liquid cooling technologies. Industry players such as Foxconn, Quanta, Wistron, and MGCooling are actively deploying rack-level and data center system liquid cooling solutions as well as overseas production capacities. Despite lingering geopolitical variables, overall market momentum remains robust.
Driven by strong demand from US and China CSPs, 2026 AI server shipments will surge. Key drivers include NVIDIA and Google's ASICs, accelerating liquid cooling adoption. While general server refresh cycles aid growth, supply chain lead times remain a potential bottleneck.
Looking to 2026, sustained AI infrastructure build-outs will drive server demand. High CAPEX from North American CSPs supports NVIDIA's new platforms and ASICs. While Tier-2 risks exist, robust major CSP demand boosts ODM AI revenues and cements the critical role of liquid cooling solutions.
The global server market is expanding, driven by robust AI infrastructure investments from CSPs and a general server replacement cycle. Major tech giants like Alibaba, Oracle, and Google are increasing capex and deploying next-gen GPU platforms to meet soaring AI computing demands.
Memory price surge continues into 1Q26, pushing BOM cost to a critical point. Brands freeze price cuts and downsize specifications, facing severe sales challenges.
Soaring memory prices increase system costs and retail prices, hurting the consumer market. TrendForce thus lowered 2026 shipment forecasts for smartphones, notebooks, and game consoles. Game console makers may abandon price cuts due to costs, shifting to high-price, profit-preserving strategies.
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