Subject


Macroeconomics


2024-11-05

[News] Has the U.S. Labor Market Truly Deteriorated Amid the Sharp Decline in Nonfarm Payrolls?

The recently released U.S. nonfarm payroll data showed unusually weak growth, raising questions in the market. Will this lead to an adjustment in the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory? Is there evidence of a genuine deterioration in the U.S. labor market, or are there other contributing factors?...

United States Treasury Yield 10 Year from Nov. 2023 to Oct 2024
2024-11-04

[New] Why Have U.S. Treasury Yields Continued to Surge Recently?

Following the Federal Reserve’s two-rate cut and release of its latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) on September 18, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has surged by 60 basis points over the past two months, from around 3.7% to approximately 4.3%. Why have Treasury yields risen so sharply? W...

stock trading on the laptop sreen
2024-11-04

Key Focus This Week: China’s NPC Standing Committee and the U.S. Presidential Election

Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced a pullback, primarily driven by declines in the tech sector, leading the S&P 500 to drop 1.37%. In the bond market, decreasing election uncertainty and a resilient labor market caused yields on 2-year and 10-year Treasuries to rise to 4.212% and 4.386%,...

2024-11-01

[News] BOJ Holds Rates Steady, Yet Potential for Future Rate Hikes Grows

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced on October 31 that it would keep the policy rate unchanged at 0.25%, meeting market expectations. This decision marks the second consecutive meeting of rate stability following the BOJ’s rate hike in July. In its quarterly outlook report, the BOJ forecast that ...

2024-11-01

[News] China’s Manufacturing Sees First Expansion in Nearly Six Months

China’s manufacturing PMI rebounded into expansion territory, ending a five-month contraction, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on October 31. The October manufacturing PMI reached 50.1, up by 0.3 percentage points from the previous period, exceeding market expectati...

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