TrendForce indicates that DeepSeek and other Chinese AI companies are challenging the hardware-centric AI development model by focusing on operational efficiency, potentially prompting CSPs to reassess their AI infrastructure investments. While CSP capital expenditures will remain high in 2025, investments in in-house ASICs will increase to reduce costs and reliance on NVIDIA GPUs. US export controls will further accelerate the development of indigenous chips and algorithms in China's AI sector. In the long term, DeepSeek's emergence may lead to a downward revision in AI GPU demand and shift AI development towards efficiency-focused strategies.
AI Server Market Forecast
Dynamics of AI Server Supply Chain
Outlook on HBM Market for AI Servers
Key Takeaways
Major CoWoS supplier TSMC continues to expand its capacity alongside the ongoing growth in demand for AI chips, such as GPUs and ASICs of CSPs. TSMC came to a total CoWoS capacity of...
TrendForce forecasts that CoWoS capacity will double in 2025, driven by demand for Blackwell and CSPs' ASICs. TSMC, the major supplier, will expand capacity to meet the demand, with NVIDIA's Blackwell platform accounting for the largest share and CoWoS-L exceeding 50%. AWS's in-house ASIC demand will also significantly increase. While TSMC's capacity expansion may face challenges, overall market demand for CoWoS remains robust.
DRAMeXchange, a division of TrendForce, estimates that x86-based solutions will continue to be the market mainstream in 2018...