Samsung’s foundry business has been facing difficulties with its advanced chip processes, particularly with its 3-nanometer production. According to a report from The Korea Times, the yield for Samsung’s 3nm process remained in the single digits until Q1 this year, causing delays in supplying engineering samples for its Exynos 2500 chipsets.

The same report notes that local analysts estimate Samsung’s yield for its 3-nanometer process improved to about 20% in the second quarter. Despite this progress, the yield rate is still significantly below the 60% threshold generally needed for mass production, creating challenges for the company in securing foundry orders.

Reflecting this situation, Samsung appears to have shifted its strategy for its newest facility, the P4 fab in Pyeongtaek, Gyeonggi Province. Instead of initially installing equipment for NAND and then moving to foundry products, Samsung is now prioritizing advanced DRAM memory production, such as high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips. Industry sources cited by The Korea Times suggest that this shift comes as a result of weak demand for its foundry services. There is growing speculation that Samsung might even dedicate the P4 fab entirely to memory chip production, driven by the steady demand for HBM and other advanced memory types used in AI servers.

These developments also cast uncertainty on Samsung’s investment in its Taylor, Texas plant. The company had originally planned to begin mass production of 4-nanometer chips there next year, but this has now been pushed back to 2026. Although the yield for the 4nm process is reportedly stable, Samsung continues to face challenges in securing orders from fabless companies.

This situation has led to speculation that Samsung may pivot to focusing on more advanced 2-nanometer chips instead of 4-nanometer ones to attract orders for next-generation products. However, reports indicate that the company is also struggling to achieve high yields for both its 2nm and 3nm processes.

Low yields have been a key factor behind Samsung’s ongoing struggles in its foundry business, according to industry insiders cited by The Korea Times. While the company has managed to stabilize yields for its 4nm process, more advanced nodes like the second-generation 3nm and 2nm processes remain problematic.

Adding to the challenges, a report from Business Korea on September 11th highlighted that continued yield issues with the 2nm process have prompted Samsung to withdraw personnel from its Taylor, Texas plant, marking another setback for its advanced wafer foundry ambitions.

Read more

• [News] Samsung’s 2nm Yield Rate at Most 20%, Withdraws Personnel from Texas Taylor Plant

(Photo credit: Samsung)

According to a report from The Chosun Daily, major tech companies like NVIDIA are considering using Intel’s foundry services (IFS) as an alternative due to TSMC’s packaging capacity shortages. While packaging is a core competency for semiconductor foundries, Samsung, which is facing difficulties in attracting customers, will need to exert maximum effort to secure orders.

It’s highlighted by the report that the demand for AI accelerators is growing rapidly, but TSMC’s AI chip production capacity is unable to keep up.

Furthermore, per The Chosun Daily citing sources, major clients like NVIDIA and Apple have secured TSMC’s 3nm advanced process capacity, pushing order backlogs into 2026.

Therefore, major tech companies seeking alternatives are turning to Intel’s IFS. Since Intel’s Foveros is said to be comparable to TSMC’s CoWoS-S, it has made Intel’s advanced packaging a viable option to ensure supply.

TSMC and Intel offer advanced packaging services to customers under the names CoWoS and Foveros, respectively. Both CoWoS and Foveros are advanced packaging technologies that connect two or more semiconductor chips on a wafer and then place them onto a packaging substrate.

Reportedly, in addition to NVIDIA and Microsoft, Amazon and Cisco are considering outsourcing to Intel Foundry to reduce their dependence on TSMC.

The report further emphasizes that this market trend is likely to cause anxiety for Samsung, which competes with TSMC and Intel in advanced processes.

Recently, Samsung’s former clients, Google and Qualcomm, have chosen TSMC, while Intel, seen as a latecomer, is catching up by securing advanced packaging orders from major tech companies, potentially narrowing the gap with Samsung.

Kim Hak-sung, head of Hanyang Institute of Smart Semiconductor, said that packaging is a technology that critically influences customer acquisition in the AI semiconductor era, where various types of chips are interconnected.

He noted that although there may not be a substantial technical capabilities difference between Samsung Electronics and Intel, as mass production experience allows the process to stabilize and become more appealing to customers.

Kim eventually addressed that to stay competitive, Samsung needs to focus on capturing the volumes that TSMC cannot accommodate, positioning itself ahead of Intel.

Read more

• [News] TSMC Reportedly to Raise 3nm & 5nm Prices Soon, Looking to Maintain Long-Term Profit Margins 
• [News] Major Clients Reportedly Fully Allocate TSMC’s Production Capacity Until 2026, 3nm Process in High Demand
  

(Photo credit: Samsung)

According to a report from wccftech, leading semiconductor foundry TSMC is preparing to increase the prices of its 3nm and 5nm processes. Reportedly, this move is said to maintain its long-term gross profit margin of 53% and secure its leadership position in the semiconductor foundry market.

The report notes that considering the high demand for AI, along with orders for consumer products from IC design companies like Apple and Qualcomm, TSMC’s production capacity remains tight.

Therefore, TSMC is reportedly planning to increase the prices of its advanced processes, such as 3nm and 5nm, by 8%, thereby ensuring stable long-term profit margins. Notably, a previous report from Commercial Times have cited sources, indicating that NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang once agreed that TSMC’s pricing is too low and will support its price increase actions.

Although the price increase has been rumored for some time, the sources cited by wccftech indicate that TSMC may implement the hike soon.

Currently, TSMC’s 3nm and 5nm process utilization rates are at 100%, indicating complete market dominance in these processes. This already allows TSMC to profit significantly, and the price increase will further benefit their operations.

In addition to advanced processes, there are rumors that TSMC is also raising the price of CoWoS packaging due to the massive demand for AI chips from AMD and NVIDIA. Although specific figures have not been disclosed, TSMC’s rapid expansion of its CoWoS production lines makes the price increase likely.

It’s previously estimated by sources cited in MoneyDJ’s report that TSMC’s CoWoS capacity remains in short supply, at 35,000 to 40,000 wafers per month this year. With the additional outsourced capacity, next year’s production could reach over 65,000 wafers per month, or possibly higher.

Read more

• [News] CoWoS Booming, TSMC Price Hikes Reportedly Imminent
• [News] NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang Supports C.C. Wei’s Theory and Backs for TSMC to Increase Price

(Photo credit: TSMC)

According to a report from Commercial Times, despite ongoing turbulence in the semiconductor industry, including Intel’s capital expenditure cuts and reported bottlenecks in NVIDIA’s B-series GPU, TSMC’s leading position in the industry may remain unshaken.

The sources cited in the report note that the issues with the B-series GPU, stemming from mask replacements to enhance chip stability, have been quickly resolved by the foundry.

The sources cited in the report believe that NVIDIA’s Blackwell started production at the end of the second quarter. To improve stability, NVIDIA replaced some masks, causing about a two-week production delay. The redesign has been completed, and large-scale production will proceed in the fourth quarter.

The same source do not believe it will affect TSMC’s CoWoS revenue, as the idle two-week capacity will be filled by the equally strong demand for H100.

On the other hand, Intel’s CPUs are reportedly facing issues as well. As per the company’s statement, the 13th and 14th generation Intel Core desktop systems are experiencing instability due to a microcode algorithm resulting in incorrect voltage requests to the processor.

Although the company has provided a two-year warranty extension and real-time updates to fix the errors, concerns about design flaws and manufacturing process issues still exist.

In 2024, Intel’s new platforms, Arrow Lake and Lunar Lake, will have their CPU tiles produced using TSMC’s 3nm process, accelerating the production schedule. Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake are expected to ship officially by the end of the third and fourth quarters of this year, respectively.

With the support of the 3nm technology, these measures are expected to alleviate market concerns.

The sources cited by Commercial Times estimate that TSMC’s competitor Intel has begun to strictly cut costs, reducing capital expenditures by 20%. This could affect key capabilities in mass production and defect resolution in wafer manufacturing.

Therefore, sources cited by the report believe that TSMC’s leading position remains difficult to challenge in the short term.

Read more

• [News] TSMC Pushes for FOPLP Mass Production by 2027, Reportedly Eyeing on Innolux’s Plant
• [News] TSMC Reportedly Forms a Team on FOPLP Development, with Mini Line on the Road

(Photo credit: TSMC)

According to a report from Commercial Times, IC design giant MediaTek is making its move into the AI accelerator sector. MediaTek CEO Rick Tsai emphasized that MediaTek aims to be the best partner for edge AI, focusing on advanced technologies and 3nm process to optimize the power consumption and efficiency of its SoCs (system-on-chips).

Tsai mentioned that MediaTek will unveil its Dimensity 9400 flagship series of chips in October, designed to perfectly support most large language models on the market. He expressed confidence in achieving a more than 50% year-over-year revenue increase for flagship devices.

For the ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) market, MediaTek has confirmed its entry into the AI accelerator field and will integrate CPUs as needed. ASICs are expected to start the revenue contribution  in the second half of next year.

Additionally, the TAM (Total Addressable Market) for generative AI is still in its early stages. MediaTek focuses on providing leading interconnect capabilities, such as SerDes IP and Ethernet PHY.

Regarding AI technology in the smartphone sector, Rick Tsai believes that flagship smartphones are seeing an increase in ASP, and there is a gradual shift towards high-end smartphones in the Chinese market. He noted that Chinese brands are actively developing AI, particularly in model development, such as open-source models like LLaMA 3.

At MediaTek’s earnings call on July 31st, Rick Tsai noted that the company anticipates a return to normal seasonal patterns in the second half of the year. The outlook for the fourth quarter will largely depend on consumer product demand.

Regarding the outlook in the third quarter, MediaTek expects the revenue to be flattish, ranging from NTD 123.5 billion to NTD 132.4 billion, compared with NTD 127.27 billion last quarter. Gross margin is projected to slide to 45.5-48.5%, from 48.8%, down 3.6 percentage points quarter over quarter and up 1.3 percentage points year-over-year.

Aside from the boost expected from the Dimensity 9400 flagship release, the company’s fourth-quarter market demand is projected to be relatively moderate, which is why the annual outlook remains unchanged. MediaTek expects its full-year gross margin to be between 46% and 48%.

Regarding TSMC’s pricing adjustments, Rick Tsai remains unperturbed, noting that all industry peers face similar cost pressures. MediaTek aims to reflect cost increases through pricing, with a gross margin target of 47% for new products. Progress has also been made in 3nm and 2nm processes, and MediaTek has secured its capacity needs for 2025 with TSMC.

Moreover, MediaTek and NVIDIA are collaborating on automotive chips, with plans to launch their first chip in early 2025. Rick Tsai mentioned that details are yet to be disclosed, but significant advancements in the automotive sector are expected between 2027 and 2028.

Read more

• [News] MediaTek Reportedly Designing ARM-Based Chips for Microsoft’s AI PCs, Launch Expected by End of Next Year
• [News] MediaTek Reportedly Partners with Meta, Entering the Battleground of AI against Apple and Qualcomm

(Photo credit: MediaTek)