TrendForce posits that Chinese EVs account for less than 2% of the US EV market, making the actual impact of these tariff hikes minimal. However, the increased battery tariffs are expected to raise EV production costs for US automakers. This could complicate efforts to reduce overall vehicle costs and incentivize consumer purchases.
TrendForce reports that this move has accelerated a shift in supply chains, resulting in increased orders for Taiwanese foundries, which are now seeing higher-than-expected capacity utilization rates. In the second half of this year, Vanguard's capacity utilization rate is expected to rise above 75%, PSMC's 12-inch capacity utilization rate will reach between 85 to 90%, and UMC's overall capacity utilization rates are projected to reach 70–75%.
TrendForce reports that the three largest DRAM suppliers are increasing wafer input for advanced processes. Following a rise in memory contract prices, companies have boosted their capital investments, with capacity expansion focusing on the second half of this year. It is expected that wafer input for 1alpha nm and above processes will account for approximately 40% of total DRAM wafer input by the end of the year.
TrendForce reports that while the immediate impact on this year's supply will be minimal, the closure will significantly affect the TV panel market in 2025. The facility, dedicated entirely to LCD TV panel production, is expected to reduce the total available market supply by nearly 5 million units next year, representing 2% of the global supply.
TrendForce’s latest report reveals a robust start to 2024 for OLED monitors, with shipments reaching approximately 200,000 units in the first quarter—marking a YoY growth of 121%.
In 2023, the combined revenue of the world’s top ten IC design houses reached approximately $167.6 billion, marking a 12% annual increase. This growth was primarily driven by NVIDIA, which saw a remarkable 105% increase in revenue, significantly boosting the overall industry. While Broadcom, Will Semiconductor, and MPS experienced only marginal revenue growth, other companies faced declines due to economic downturns and inventory reductions, says TrendForce.
However, these advancements come with a price increase; the next-generation iPad Pro will be priced $200 higher than its predecessor. Furthermore, the introduction of a 13-inch iPad Air could potentially dilute consumer interest, affecting demand for other models. As a result, TrendForce estimates the combined shipment of the 11-inch and 13-inch AMOLED iPad Pro models will only reach between 4.5 to 5 million units in 2024.
TrendForce’s latest forecasts reveal contract prices for DRAM in the second quarter are expected to increase by 13–18%, while NAND Flash contract prices have been adjusted to a 15–20% Only eMMC/UFS will be seeing a smaller price increase of about 10%.
Specifically, HBM’s share of total DRAM bit capacity is estimated to rise from 2% in 2023 to 5% in 2024 and surpass 10% by 2025. In terms of market value, HBM is projected to account for more than 20% of the total DRAM market value starting in 2024, potentially exceeding 30% by 2025.