NVIDIA and AMD Will Face Challenges in China’s AI Server Market Due to New US Export Regulations; Chinese Firms Are Expected to Increase Use of Domestic and In-House AI Chips in 2025

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2025-05-05

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According to the latest supply chain survey from TrendForce, new US export regulations starting in April 2025 will require licenses for exporting semiconductor chips like NVIDIA H20 and AMD MI308 to China. This requirement will significantly impact NVIDIA's ability to sell their H20 and similar chips to China’s AI market, driving the market towards domestic alternatives and a clearer division between the AI server supply chains in China and the US.

In response to these restrictions, Chinese CSPs and OEMs are expected to increasingly rely on domestic suppliers for AI accelerators. Major Chinese CSPs such as Baidu, ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent are anticipated to boost their investments in developing in-house AI chips. As a result of the new export controls, the share of externally purchased AI chips (e.g., from NVIDIA and AMD) in China’s AI server market is projected to drop from 63% in 2024 to 41.5% in 2025.

Huawei and Cambricon lead the domestic AI chip sector and are expected to drive the adoption of local chips in 2025. Additionally, Chinese CSPs like Alibaba and Baidu are actively developing their ASICs to replace NVIDIA GPUs. Overall, geopolitical risks are expected to expedite China's autonomy in the AI supply chain.

＜Total Pages：8＞

Category: Semiconductors , Artificial Intelligence

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