DRAM Output Projection for 2025 Has Undergone Upward Revisions Due to Weak Demand Outlook, Rising Inventory Levels, and Potential of TSV Capacity Being Shifted away from HBM Production

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2024-11-11

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TrendForce has revised its 2025 DRAM price forecast downward, projecting price declines in the first half of next year, with DDR4 and LPDDR4X experiencing steeper drops. Key factors contributing to this revision include: a weakening NAND Flash market leading to capacity shift towards DRAM; potential underutilization of HBM capacity by some DRAM suppliers, resulting in TSV capacity shifting back to conventional DRAM; China's DRAM capacity expansion; and sluggish consumer electronics demand. TrendForce believes that without DRAM capacity reduction, inventory digestion will be slow, and the price outlook for the second half of 2025 remains pessimistic.

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Sector: Memory & Storage Semiconductors

Tag: HBM DRAM Mobile Memory TSV Competitive Landscape Inventory Pricing Trends Production Capacity Supply Chain Bottleneck Supply & Demand Samsung SK Hynix Micron

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