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Negatively impacted by the uncertainty of global economic recovery, many suppliers are relatively conservative towards the 1H12 market. Thus, 1H12 bit output growth will depend mainly on process technology migration in order to strengthen cost competitiveness. New 300mm wafer capacity will be not added until 2H12, depending on the status of the market at the time, in order to close the gap between NAND flash supply and demand and reduce the impact of price decline on profitability...
The global DRAM industry’s total revenue for 3Q was approximately US$6.566 billion. Due to weak economies worldwide and a severe oversupply situation, DDR3 4GB average contract price fell from US$31 to US$19.5, a decrease of nearly 37%. DRAM makers’ total revenue decreased significantly, by 19.4% QoQ. Besides Samsung Semiconductors, all other DRAM manufacturers reported losses for 3Q. Additionally, DRAM makers actively transitioned to the 30nm-node process and the production of DDR3 4Gb chips. The sufficiency ratio for 1H12 will still be over 15%, which will stimulate capacity cuts or even mergers in the DRAM industry...
Commodity DRAM Market Once Again Engaged in Price Wars, Mobile DRAM Becomes Strategic Battleground...
Negatively affected by worldwide economic factors, shipment performance for system products such as smartphones and tablet PCs was not as expected in 2Q11...
According to DRAMeXchange, a research division of TrendForce, total revenue for the global DRAM industry in 2Q11 was approximately US$8.1 billion. Although DRAM ASP (average selling price) increased slightly due to expectations of supply disruption from the Japan earthquake, ProMOS’s decrease in wafer start volume and Powerchip’s increase of non-DRAM products caused overall revenue to decrease slightly, 1.9% from 1Q11...
Benefiting from the explosive growth of smartphone and tablet, the NAND Flash consumption of built-in system products will surpass 50% and reach 60.4% of the total consumption, according to DRAMeXchange. Such a growth suggests that the NAND Flash industry will be depending more and more on system products such as smartphone, media tablet and SSD instead of memory card and UFD for its future growth momentum...
DRAMeXchange expects that the supply bit growth of NAND Flash suppliers in 2011 will be mainly driven by the upgrade of manufacturing process, and 300mm wafer capacity will be increased according to the market demand in order to maintain the balance of NAND Flash market and alleviate the impact of price decline...
According to DRAMeXchange, a research department of Trendforce, despite 30% contract price drop, 1Q11 worldwide DRAM revenue merely declined 4% to US$8.3bn from US$8.6bn due to the 15% output increase...
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