2025 China Market: NVIDIA AI Chip Forecast and Supply Chain Analysis
Last Modified
2025-07-22
Update Frequency
Aperiodically
Format
NVIDIA has resumed sales of its AI chip H20 in China, prioritizing this year's targets. TSMC's production capacity could be a bottleneck. NVIDIA will also launch the Blackwell platform RTX PRO 6000 to address diverse application needs.
Key Highlights
- NVIDIA resumes H20 AI chip sales to the Chinese market, aiming to meet this year's sales goals.
- Currently, no significant additional orders; upstream supply chain like TSMC's full capacity could be a bottleneck.
- Chinese end customers anticipate the next-gen Blackwell platform RTX PRO 6000.
- Upstream capacity expansion and actual demand changes need monitoring.
- TSMC might use other production lines to handle urgent orders but must assess cost-effectiveness.
- NVIDIA's existing product stock and TSMC's semi-finished inventory will be the supply mainstay upon H20's restart.
Table of Contents
- NVIDIA Prioritizes on Achieving Initially Set Sales Target after Lifted Ban on H20 with no Apparent Order Increment
- TSMC's Full-Load Capacity May Become Bottleneck for Extra Orders in Future; Current Response by Existing H20 Inventory
- NVIDIA Maintains Previous Expectation on Mid-End GPU RTX PRO; Future Drop May be Possible due to Low Kickoffs among Clients
- NVIDIA's Major GPU Solutions and Server System Applications for 2025
- NVIDIA and Chinese CSPs Continue to Assess Additional Procurement Needs for HBM and RDIMM, Likely Leading to Rebound in HBM3e 8hi Shipments
- NVIDIA's Procurements from Three Major DRAM Suppliers
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