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Press Releases
Driven by Demand for Active Safety in China and the U.S., Automotive mmWave Radar Market Expects Rapid Growth with a CAGR of 15% from 2018 to 2023, Says TrendForce


Consumer Electronics / LED / Telecommunications / Emerging Technologies

According to the latest research by TrendForce, the market of automotive mmWave radar expects rapid growth with the shipment estimated at 65 million units in 2018; the CAGR is expected to be 15% from 2018 to 2023 The growth momentum comes from China’s adoption of C-NCAP, a car safety assessment program, and NHTSA’s new regulation that makes automatic emergency braking system as a standard feature for new cars “With its wavelengths between centimeter wave and light wave, mmWave radar has been widely used in military fields because of its properties of both optical waveguide and electromagnetic waveguide”, says Yvette Lin, an analyst of TrendForce With the development of automotive electronics, mmWave sensors have become a key for ADAS and autonomous driving, but its development in the past years has been stalled since mmWave radar needs exclusive frequency band The situation has changed after the World Radiocommunication Conference 2015 allocated 76~81GHz for automotive radar, providing a clear direction for the development of automotive mmWave radar Compared with other sensors, automotive mmWave radars are less influenced by weather, as well as shapes and colors of objects, with a detection range of 250 meters Therefore, it has been widely used in active safety systems like blind spot detection (BSD), automatic emergency braking (AEB) and front anti-collision warning (FCW) At present, mass-produced cars with FCW and AEB are normally equipped with a long-range mmWave radar with two short-range ones, while cars with BSD require two short-range ones Current suppliers of long-range mmWave radar are mainly Tier 1 international manufacturers, while most Taiwan-based and Chinese manufacturers remain in the process of R&D or verification As for short-range ones, Taiwan-based companies like Alpha Networks, Wistron NeWeb, Cubtek and Universal Microelectronics, have launched related products Chinese companies, including Nanoradar, Sensortech Intelligent Technology and Intibeam, have also entered the stage of productization Lin notes that, China has included FDW and AEB in C-NCAP for the first time in 2018, while the US will make AEB system as a standard feature for new cars since 2022, which will jointly drive the global shipments of mmWave radar to 65 million units this year Driven by the demand for active safety from auto markets in China and the US, Trendforce estimates the annual shipments of automotive mmWave radars at 132 million in 2023, a CAGR of 15% for the period 2018~2023

Press Releases
Shipments of Sensing Camera in Automotive OE Market Will Grow by 63% YoY in 2018 Driven by the Establishment of Regulations for Vehicle Safety, says TrendForce


Consumer Electronics / Telecommunications / Semiconductors / Emerging Technologies

According to the latest research by TrendForce, the demand for sensing camera in automotive OE (Original Equipment) market will see considerable growth in 2018, driven by the development of smart vehicles in high-end market and the establishment of regulations in the US, the EU, Japan and China The shipments of sensing camera in automotive OE market are expected to reach 121 million units in 2018, a year-on-year growth of 63% compared with 74 million units in 2017 “The soaring demand for sensing cameras is attributed to the development of autonomous driving”, says Yvette Lin, analyst of TrendForce Driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, communication and sensing technology, many technology companies and traditional car makers have invested in the R&D of autonomous driving Consumers also show increasing concerns for active safety, which push the demand for advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) and sensors Currently, car makers adopt different ADAS sensing solutions, including millimeter-wave radar, ultrasonic radar and automotive camera, etc Particularly, camera-based solutions are gradually accepted by car manufacturers since breakthroughs have been made in image recognition algorithms and capabilities of image processing chips Camera-based solutions, which can detect the traffic around vehicles through image recognition, are now applied in both cars with ADAS and autonomous-driving vehicles in testing According to Lin, current mass produced cars with ADAS carry an average of 4 to 8 cameras per car After the launch of highly-autonomous vehicle in 2020, the number of cameras embedded in each car will increase to 10 to 12 In this trend, major camera manufacturers across the world have been actively deploying in the automotive market, including Chinese companies Sunny Optical and Sunex, Taiwan-based Asia Optical and Calin, and Korean manufactures Sekonix, who have been shipping products to the first-tier car makers In addition to the development of smart vehicles in high-end market, the establishment of regulations for vehicle safety in the US, the EU, Japan and China also drives the rapid expansion of market Since 2016, forward collision warning (FCW), lane maintenance system (LDW), automatic emergency braking system (AEB), and blind spot detection system (BSD) have been mandatory for vehicles or included in the New Car Evaluation Standard (NCAP) in areas like the United States, the European Union, and Japan Particularly, China has for the first time included a number of evaluation criteria for active safety in the 2018 version of NCAP As the largest market of cars in the world, China witnesses increasing demand for sensing camera, which will boost the global market for automotive sensing camera TrendForce estimates that the shipments of automotive sensing camera will reach nearly 124 million units by 2020

Press Releases
Global Self-driving Taxi Market Will Grow at a CAGR of 81% from 2018 to 2023, Says TrendForce


Telecommunications / Emerging Technologies

Self-driving taxi services that combine ridesharing and autonomous vehicles have undergone road tests in 2017, and most companies expect to launch their commercial self-driving taxi services formally in 2021, which will tremendously change the future of transport TrendForce estimates the CAGR of self-driving taxis to reach 81% from 2018 to 2023 According to TrendForce analyst Yvette Lin, fully autonomous vehicle (Level 5) is the ultimate goal of autonomous driving technology For ridesharing operators, fully autonomous vehicles significantly increase both car utilization rates and transport efficiency, as they can operate 24/7 theoretically However, there is still a long way to go before regulations for fully autonomous vehicles are widely adopted, so both traditional automakers and other technology companies all seeexpect putting level 4 self-driving vehicles into commercial operation in 2020 as the year that high automation vehicles (Level 4) will officially become commercialized In addition to enhancing safety, Level 4 vehicles also aim at improving efficiency and convenience of transport, which are at the core of ridesharing Therefore, self-driving taxis have become the direction of development for ridesharing operators All of the major ridesharing operators have laid out some market deployment strategies in the autonomous driving market since 2016 For instance, Uber announced its cooperation with Volvo, Ford and Daimler Group in 2016, and is expected to commercialize self-driving taxis by 2021 Lyft has partnered with General Motors and Waymo, Google’s self-driving car project, while setting up a research center to develop autonomous driving technology Earlier this year, Lyft demonstrated self-driving services in CES 2018, and is also set to launch self-driving taxi service in 2021 As for Asian companies, Didi Chuxing has opened a self-driving lab in California in 2017; Grab Taxi, the largest ridesharing operator in Southeast Asia, has partnered with autonomous driving technology provider nuTonomy to carry out road tests of fully autonomous vehicles in Singapore, with the goal to put them into commercial operation by 2021 Compared with Level 3 vehicles, which take the lead in freeway transport such as trucks and buses, Level 4 focuses on self-driving in urban areas, where ridesharing could serve as the last-mile solution to fulfill transport needs in the city Furthermore, global traffic problems have become worse, and people in some countries are even less willing to own automobiles due to difficulties in finding parking and getting license, which is expected to further help expand the ridesharing market Lin also notes that, while regulatory challenges remain in realizing full autonomous driving, service operators will be able to benefit from first-mover advantage in the personalized transport service market in future’s highly automated transport network, if they deploy high automation vehicles early 

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